Blog Category Archives: Free Stuff

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TA # 298; Mon. December 4, 2017

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TA # 271; Tue. October 24, 2017

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TA # 267; Wed. October 18, 2017

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TA # 266; Tue. October 17, 2017

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TA # 265; Mon. October 16, 2017

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TA # 264; Fri October 13, 2017

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TA # 263; Thu October 12, 2017

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TA # 262; Wed October 11, 2017

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TA # 261; Tue October 10, 2017

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New and Updated Posts (October 9, 2017)

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Performance of TradeAlert Newsletter from July 1, 2017 (Status October 8, 2017)

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Status of Australian AORD-X Index until October 4, 2017

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Status of Chinese SSE Index until October 4, 2017

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Status of Japanese NIKKEI-225 Index until October 4, 2017

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Status of UK FTSE-100 Index until October 4, 2017

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Status of German DAX Index until October 4, 2017

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TA # 260; Mon October 9, 2017

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Status of USD/YEN until October 8, 2017

The other major Forex index is the US Dollar against Japanese Yen (USD/JPY). Comments related to EUR/USD also apply to USD/JPY. Figure 17.26 shows a monthly chart of USD/JPY from 1975 to December 28, 2015.

17-26Figure 17.26 Charts courtesy of netdania.com

We can see that the USD has been substantially depreciating against JPY from 1975 to 1995. This trend was mainly the consequence of removing the USD gold backing by the Fed. After that, USD/JPY was practically trending sideway until Q4, 2012. Mr. Abe became the prime minister of Japan in 2012. He is trying with full power to depreciate JPY against the dollar (to make the dollar go higher) with unprecedented QE plans. The up trending wave from October 2012 to December 28, 2015, is partly the result of the BoJ QE program, and partly because of the rate hike anticipation by the Fed.

Inflation or Deflation: What is good for the economy and citizens?

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Status of EUR/USD until October 8, 2017

Forex is the exchange for trading currencies. The EUR/USD index shows the evolution of the Euro against the US Dollar. When the EUR/USD goes up, the Euro appreciates against the USD, and when it goes down, the USD appreciates against the Euro. When you open a Long position on EUR/USD, you bet that the Euro will appreciate. With a Short position, you bet that the Euro depreciates and the USD appreciates.

Figure 17.25 shows a monthly chart of EUR/USD from 1991 to December 28, 2015. On its left side, the Euro relentlessly depreciates against the USD until Q3 2000. Then after a double bottom of W-type in 2000 and 2001, the Euro started a rally until 2008 to reach an exchange rate of $1.60 for 1 Euro. Since then, the EUR/USD wave evolves within a down trending channel. In December 2015, the wave was sitting on a support line. Should the Fed announce another rate hike in 2016 or after, the wave could break through the support line. This event is however quite unlikely because such decision would have adverse effects on the trend of the US financial markets and the ability of the US governments to service their debt.

The EUR/USD trend prediction and timing will be included in the MPS TradeAlerts newsletter.

For further details regarding the state of the US Economy and Finances, please refer to the section “The Fed”.